基于递归均值调整的回归单位根检验:适用于季节性与非季节性时间序列

Regression-Based Unit Root Tests With Recursive Mean Adjustment for Seasonal and Nonseasonal Time Series

Journal of Business & Economic Statistics · 2002
被引 47
人大 AABS 4

中文导读

提出一种新的单位根检验方法,通过递归去均值与去趋势处理,在季节性和非季节性时间序列中比传统方法具有更高的检验功效和更优的有限样本性质。

Abstract

This article considers tests for (seasonal) unit roots in a univariate time-series process that are similar with respect to both the initial values of the process and the possibility of (differential seasonal) drift under the (seasonal) unit root null. In contrast to existing approaches, the technique of recursive (seasonal) de-meaning and (seasonal) de-trending of the process is adopted. Representations are derived for the limiting distributions of the proposed statistics under the (seasonal) unit root null and under near (seasonal) integration. In the nonseasonal case the asymptotic local power of the proposed test is shown to exceed that of existing tests when the initial observation is drawn from the stationary distribution of the process. The proposed tests also display superior finite sample size and power properties to conventional seasonal unit root tests and variants of such tests constructed using simple symmetric least squares and weighted symmetric least squares estimation.

递归均值调整单位根检验季节性单位根渐近局部势