Estimating an Emissions Supply Function from Accelerated Vehicle Retirement Programs
利用特拉华州一项实验性车辆报废项目的数据,估计车主保留价与车辆预期剩余寿命的关系,推导出减排供给曲线,为制定报废补贴政策提供依据。
Local authorities and industries seeking to reduce emissions and improve air quality have shown interest in programs that offer to purchase and retire old, high-polluting vehicles. We analyze the results from an experimental vehicle retirement program in Delaware, during which selected pre-1980 vehicle owners were offered $500 for their vehicles and surveyed about vehicle characteristics, value and use. With this unique data set we estimate the relationship between the owner's reservation price and the expected remaining life of the vehicle to derive a supply curve for emissions reductions, which predicts the emissions reductions as a function of the offer made to eligible vehicles in a scrappage program. Copyright 1996 by MIT Press.