开放度与通货膨胀:理论与证据

Openness and Inflation: Theory and Evidence

Quarterly Journal of Economics · 1993
被引 952
人大 A+FT50ABS 4*

中文导读

从理论上论证了经济开放度越高,意外货币扩张的收益越低,从而通胀倾向越小,并用跨国数据验证了开放度与通胀之间的稳健负相关关系。

Abstract

Because unanticipated monetary expansion leads to real exchange rate depreciation, and because the harms of real depreciation are greater in more open economies, the benefits of unanticipated expansion are decreasing in the degree of openness. Models in which the absence of precommitment in monetary policy leads to excessive inflation therefore predict lower average inflation in more open economies. This paper tests this prediction using cross-country data. The data show a strong and robust negative link between openness and inflation.

开放度通货膨胀货币政策汇率