哈维尔莫-考尔斯委员会研究计划的巩固

CONSOLIDATION OF THE HAAVELMO-COWLES COMMISSION RESEARCH PROGRAM

Econometric Theory · 2014
被引 13
人大 A-ABS 4

中文导读

考察了1950-70年间哈维尔莫-考尔斯委员会研究计划的巩固过程,发现其主导地位主要源于对硬科学方法的遵循,而非实证相关性。

Abstract

Much of modern econometrics stems directly from the post-1940 works of Haavelmo and the Cowles Commission (CC) Monograph 10. This paper examines the consolidation process of the Haavelmo-CC research program mainly during the 1950–70 period from three aspects: (i) developments of econometrics textbooks, (ii) emerging themes and trends in econometric research, and (iii) the contribution of the program to empirical modeling of real-world issues. The examination reveals that the program has gained dominance primarily through its adherence to the scientific banner and style rather than its empirical relevance. The adoption of the hard science methodology is decisive in winning over the academic community; the taxonomy of econometrics into steps involving primarily specification, identification, and estimation has played a pivotal role in generating compartmentalized research topics with manageable technical challenge and also in facilitating the educational need for compiling self-contained subjects and definitely soluble questions.

计量经济学教科书计量经济学方法论实证建模