谱方差估计量的强相合性及其他性质

Strong Consistency and Other Properties of the Spectral Variance Estimator

Management Science · 1991
被引 66
人大 A+FT50UTD24ABS 4*

中文导读

证明了稳态仿真输出分析中谱方差估计量的强相合性,从而为谱方法构建固定宽度置信区间提供了理论依据,并揭示了谱方法与重叠批均值方差估计量之间的关系。

Abstract

Consistent estimation of the variance parameter of a stochastic process allows construction, under certain conditions, of a confidence interval for the mean of the process. If the variance estimator is strongly consistent, fixed-width confidence interval construction is valid for large samples. It has long been known that the spectral variance estimator of steady-state simulation output analysis is consistent in the mean-square sense. Here, we provide strong consistency of this estimator, thereby justifying fixed-width confidence interval construction for the spectral method. A characterization of spectral density function estimators is also introduced. This characterization provides insight into the relation between spectral methods and overlapping batch means-type variance estimators. Finally, some of the mathematical conditions provide qualitative insight into the relation between the process correlation and certain parameters of spectral methods.

谱方差估计量强相合性固定宽度置信区间谱密度函数估计