关于使用控制变量提高蒙特卡洛模拟效率的视角

A Perspective on the Use of Control Variables to Increase the Efficiency of Monte Carlo Simulations

Management Science · 1981
被引 207 · 同刊同年前 10%
人大 A+FT50UTD24ABS 4*

中文导读

综述了控制变量在离散事件模拟中提高效率的应用,回顾基本理论,讨论系数估计和置信区间问题,并指出未来研究方向。

Abstract

This is a survey paper on the application of control variables to increase the efficiency of discrete event simulations. The emphasis is on the practical problems and potential of applying the method in the simulation of complex systems. The basic theory of control variables is reviewed and the equivalence of control variables and multiple estimators is discussed. Techniques for generating control variables are described. Inefficiencies resulting from the statistical estimation of control variable coefficients and the problem of confidence interval generation are treated. This is done both within the context of the method of independent replications and the regenerative method. The application literature is reviewed and the conditions under which control variables could be profitably applied in practical simulations are described. Finally, there is a set of recommended directions for future research.

控制变量蒙特卡洛模拟离散事件仿真方差缩减