European Community Enlargement and World Trade in Fruits and Vegetables
估计了新鲜水果、干果、加工水果、新鲜蔬菜和加工蔬菜的世界贸易模型,预测欧洲经济共同体扩大(加入希腊、葡萄牙和西班牙)对出口价格和贸易模式的影响。结果显示,扩大不会显著改变价格趋势,但会将欧共体进口转向新成员国。
Abstract World trade models for the product classes fresh fruits, dried fruits, processed fruits, fresh vegetables, and processed vegetables are estimated and used to project the impact on export prices and trade patterns likely to arise after the European Economic Community enlargement with Greece, Portugal, and Spain. The results indicate that current world trends in import demands and export supplies if continued, and in the absence of enlargement, will cause marked declines of export prices for four of the above product categories (except dried fruits). The enlargement will not significantly modify these price projections, but it will divert a significant part of European Community imports of these products to the three new member countries.