收益波动率与交易量:随机波动的信息流解释

Return Volatility and Trading Volume: An Information Flow Interpretation of Stochastic Volatility

Journal of Finance · 1996
被引 1011 · 同刊同年前 10%
人大 A+FT50UTD24ABS 4*

中文导读

从微观结构出发,构建了一个收益波动率与交易量的实证模型,将信息流建模为随机波动过程,改进了混合分布假说,并发现该模型优于标准版本,有助于理解波动率聚集的经济因素。

Abstract

ABSTRACT The paper develops an empirical return volatility‐trading volume model from a microstructure framework in which informational asymmetries and liquidity needs motivate trade in response to information arrivals. The resulting system modifies the so‐called “Mixture of Distribution Hypothesis” (MDH). The dynamic features are governed by the information flow, modeled as a stochastic volatility process, and generalize standard ARCH specifications. Specification tests support the modified MDH representation and show that it vastly outperforms the standard MDH. The findings suggest that the model may be useful for analysis of the economic factors behind the observed volatility clustering in returns.

信息流随机波动混合分布假说交易量