估算美国育肥牛市场的跨期供给反应

Estimating Intertemporal Supply Response in the Fed Beef Market

American Journal of Agricultural Economics · 1994
被引 57
人大 AABS 3

中文导读

用月度滞后结构的局部调整模型,估计育肥牛市场的跨期供给行为,发现短期供给并非固定,供给弹性随时间由负转正。

Abstract

Abstract A partial adjustment model with monthly lag structures on expected output and input prices is used to estimate intertemporal supply behavior of fed beef. Previous research has provided conflicting supply elasticities. The present work reconciles the conflicts by integrating different lengths of run into cattle marketing and placement decisions. For example, the model dynamics incorporate short‐run changes in cattle asset values and long‐run adjustments in resource use. Empirical results provide no evidence of short‐run supply fixity; supply elasticities switch from negative to positive over time.

联邦牛肉市场跨期供给反应部分调整模型供给弹性