当同期和时序总量已知时M个分解时间序列的估计

The Estimation of M Disaggregate Time Series when Contemporaneous and Temporal Aggregates are Known

Review of Economics and Statistics · 1990
被引 57
人大 AFT50ABS 4

中文导读

讨论如何利用低频数据(如年度)和同期总量约束,最优估计多个高频时间序列(如季度或月度),并评述了Rossi(1982)的方法。

Abstract

We discuss the problem of estimating M (>1) high-frequency (say, quarterly or monthly) time series using the relevant low-frequency (say, annual or quarterly) data, the sum for each intra-annual period of the series to be estimated and, finally, a number of related indicators. The optimal (in least squares sense) estimator that fulfills both temporal and contemporaneous aggregation constraints is derived. In addition, we critically comment on the estimation approach followed by Rossi (1982), showing that a convenient reformulation of that method can be viewed as a special application of a known adjustment technique. Copyright 1990 by MIT Press.

时间序列估计高频数据低频数据聚合约束