更清晰的图像?夜间灯光作为经济统计代理变量的精度估计

A sharper image? Estimates of the precision of nighttime lights as a proxy for economic statistics

Journal of Economic Geography · 2014
被引 158
人大 AABS 4

中文导读

研究用夜间灯光数据估算低收入国家及区域的经济指标,发现对统计质量差的国家有参考价值,但对高质量数据国家帮助有限。

Abstract

Much aggregate social-science analysis relies upon the standard national income and product accounts as a source of economic data. These are recognized to be defective in many poor countries, and are missing at the regional level for large parts of the world. Using updated luminosity (or nighttime lights) data, the present study examines whether such data contain useful information for estimating national and regional incomes and output. The bootstrap method is used for estimating the statistical precision of the estimates of the contribution of the lights proxy. We conclude that there may be substantial cross-sectional information in lights data for countries with low-quality statistical systems. However, lights data provide very little additional information for countries with high-quality data wherever standard data are available. The largest statistical concerns arise from uncertainties about the precision of standard national accounts data.

夜间灯光数据经济统计代理变量数据质量国家收入估算