The Impact of Vocational Training for the Unemployed: Experimental Evidence from Turkey
通过随机实验评估土耳其失业人员职业培训项目，发现培训对就业的平均影响接近零且不显著，但短期内提升了就业质量，尤其是私人培训机构的效果更明显，不过三年后这些效应也消失了。
We use a randomised experiment to evaluate Turkey’s vocational training programmes for the unemployed. A detailed follow‐up survey of a large sample with low attrition enables precise estimation of treatment impacts and their heterogeneity. The average impact of training on employment is positive but close to zero and statistically insignificant, which is much lower than programme officials and applicants expected. Over the first year, training had statistically significant effects on the quality of employment and these positive impacts are stronger when training is offered by private providers. However, administrative data show that after three years these effects have also dissipated.