健康研究投资的模糊多准则评估

FUZZY MULTICRITERIA EVALUATION OF HEALTH RESEARCH INVESTMENTS

Technological and Economic Development of Economy · 2014
被引 32
人大 A-

中文导读

针对健康研究投资难以用单一标准评估的问题,提出一种基于模糊层次分析法的多准则方法,用于在多个投资方案中做出选择,并通过敏感性分析检验参数变化的影响。

Abstract

Health research and investments are expensive, and its explicit social, health and economic impacts are hard to define. There are many challenges and assumptions in defining specific returns on investment in health research. In the literature, there is no common approach to evaluate health research impacts. Single criterion methods are generally used with validated indicators to track overall outcomes or outcomes in a specific health research area. These methods have the ability of considering only one criterion at a time, which is usually the cost of the investment. A multicriteria method is proposed for taking care of many conflicting criteria of health research investments. The difficulty of measuring intangible criteria is captured by the fuzzy set theory. Fuzzy analytic hierarchy process (AHP) is used for the selection among four possible health research investment alternatives. A sensitivity analysis is made for the changes in the values of various parameters.

模糊多准则评价健康研究投资模糊层次分析法敏感性分析