DEVELOPMENT OF CHINA'S ENERGY SECTOR: REFORM, EFFICIENCY, AND ENVIRONMENTAL IMPACTS
研究指出，即使能效持续提升，中国未来25年一次能源消费仍需增长2-3倍以维持GDP增速，短期内依赖煤炭将加剧环境与健康损害，并提出继续改革、取消价格管制、推广清洁煤和可再生能源等政策建议。
Even with continued improvements in energy efficiency, China could require a two-to three-fold increase in primary energy consumption over the next 25 years to maintain average GDP growth rates slightly lower than those of the past decade. In the short term, only coal can provide such a large expansion in energy supply. However, widespread coal burning has already resulted in a range of environmental and human health damages. To meet its growing energy needs, yet prevent more serious environmental impacts, China must: continue with economic reform; lift remaining price controls on electric power and fuel; encourage the transfer of advanced technologies form abroad; accelerate the adoption of energy efficiency measures; expand coal cleaning; accelerate research and commercial demonstration of clean coal and renewable energy technologies; phase out the use of coal in the residential and commercial sectors; and strengthen environmental policy. Copyright 1995 by Oxford University Press.