论博弈论对主权债务与违约研究的贡献

On the contribution of game theory to the study of sovereign debt and default

Oxford Review of Economic Policy · 2013
被引 14
人大 A-ABS 2

中文导读

回顾了博弈论工具在主权债务与违约理论研究中的应用,探讨了无超国家强制机构时国家为何偿还债务,以及主权债务重组过程为何低效。

Abstract

This paper reviews the lessons learned from the application of the tools of game theory to the theoretical study of sovereign debt and default. We focus on two main questions. First, we review answers to the most fundamental question in the theory of sovereign debt: given that there is no supranational institution for enforcing the repayment of debts, why do countries ever repay their debts? Second, we review theories of the process by which sovereign debts are restructured with a view to answering the following question: why does the process of sovereign debt restructuring appear so inefficient? The first question raises issues in the design of self-enforcing contracts and on the credibility of threats to punish a country in default. The second question involves applications of the theory of bargaining in environments where the parties to a bargain cannot commit to honour the terms of the bargain or even commit to enter into negotiations in the first place.

博弈论主权债务违约债务重组