群体做出更优的自利决策

Groups Make Better Self-Interested Decisions

Journal of Economic Perspectives · 2012
被引 403
人大 A-ABS 4

中文导读

综述经济学实验发现,群体比个体更符合标准博弈论预测,受偏见和认知局限影响更小,因此个体孤立决策不能简单预测群体行为。

Abstract

In this paper, we describe what economists have learned about differences between group and individual decision-making. This literature is still young, and in this paper, we will mostly draw on experimental work (mainly in the laboratory) that has compared individual decision-making to group decision-making, and to individual decision-making in situations with salient group membership. The bottom line emerging from economic research on group decision-making is that groups are more likely to make choices that follow standard game-theoretic predictions, while individuals are more likely to be influenced by biases, cognitive limitations, and social considerations. In this sense, groups are generally less “behavioral” than individuals. An immediate implication of this result is that individual decisions in isolation cannot necessarily be assumed to be good predictors of the decisions made by groups. More broadly, the evidence casts doubts on traditional approaches that model economic behavior as if individuals were making decisions in isolation.

群体决策个体决策博弈论预测行为偏差