Reducing the Error in Monthly Housing Starts Estimates
提出一种利用建筑许可发放量（误差较小）与住房开工量的强相关性，通过加权平均得到比美国人口普查局官方数据更准确的月度住房开工量估计方法。
This paper describes a method for developing estimates of total monthly housing starts that are more accurate than the published Census Bureau figures. The technique makes use of the facts that (1) estimated building permit issuance is subject to far less sampling error than is the starts estimate and (2) permit issuance and starts bear a strong contemporaneous correlation. The conclusion is that monthly housing starts and monthly building permit issuance should be assigned nearly equal weights in developing an improved estimate of total housing starts.