对存在相依误差的某些单位根检验的有用修正及其局部渐近性质

Useful Modifications to some Unit Root Tests with Dependent Errors and their Local Asymptotic Properties

Review of Economic Studies · 1996
被引 589
人大 A+FT50ABS 4*

中文导读

分析Phillips-Perron单位根检验在误差根接近单位圆时的尺寸扭曲问题,提出使用自回归谱密度估计的修正统计量能显著改善尺寸,并评估其局部渐近功效,推荐用于实证研究。

Abstract

Many unit root tests have distorted sizes when the root of the error process is close to the unit circle. This paper analyses the properties of the Phillips-Perron tests and some of their variants in the problematic parameter space. We use local asymptotic analyses to explain why the Phillips-Perron tests suffer from severe size distortions regardless of the choice of the spectral density estimator but that the modified statistics show dramatic improvements in size when used in conjunction with a particular formulation an autoregressive spectral density estimator. We explain why kernel based spectral density estimators aggravate the size problem in the Phillips-Perron tests and yield no size improvement to the modified statistics. The local asymptotic power of the modified statistics are also evaluated. These modified statistics are recommended as being useful in empirical work since they are free of the size problems which have plagued many unit root tests, and they retain respectable power.

单位根检验误差依赖局部渐近性质