Financial Intermediation, Business Failures, and Real Business Cycles
构建了一个一般均衡经济周期模型,在受到实际冲击时能复现产出、货币、企业破产等变量的协同变动,而货币冲击则与实证不符,从而支持实际经济周期理论。
In this paper, a general-equilibrium business- cycle model is construct ed that, when subjected to real disturbances, mimics observed qualita tive comovements among real output, money, business failures, risk pr emia, intermediary loans, and prices. In contrast, monetary disturban ces generate cycles that have several inconsistencies with empirical evidence, thus providing support for real business-cycle theory at th e expense of monetary theories of the business cycle. Financial inter mediation arises endogenously in the model and intermediation matters for business-cycle behavior. A credit supply mechanism acts in tande m with an intertemporal substitution effect in propagating stochastic disturbances. Copyright 1987 by University of Chicago Press.