MAKING DECISIONS FROM AN INTERVIEW: EXPERT MEASUREMENT AND MECHANICAL COMBINATION
研究了基于定性印象的决策方法,将印象转化为定量评分并通过机械组合方案整合,与临床判断比较,发现机械组合优于临床判断,两者结合准确率最高。
One way of making decisions on the basis of qualitative impressions is to identify a number of relevant dimensions, translate the impressions into quantitative ratings on each of the dimensions, and integrate the ratings using a mechanical combination scheme. The paper compares the output of this method to global (clinical) judgment. The basis for the comparison is a large database that includes both information collected in a structured interview and a relevant criterion. The results clearly suggest that mechanical combination outperforms clinical judgment, but also that the combination of both schemes produces the highest accuracy.