具有非正态残差的结构向量自回归模型

Structural Vector Autoregressions With Nonnormal Residuals

Journal of Business & Economic Statistics · 2009
被引 98
人大 AABS 4

中文导读

指出在结构向量自回归模型中,当识别约束不足时,可利用混合正态分布等分布假设来识别结构冲击,并用美国和欧洲利率数据验证了该方法。

Abstract

Abstract In structural vector autoregressive (SVAR) modeling, sometimes the identifying restrictions are insufficient for a unique specification of all shocks. In this paper it is pointed out that specific distributional assumptions can help in identifying the structural shocks. In particular, a mixture of normal distributions is considered as a possible model that can be used in this context. Our model setup enables us to test restrictions which are just-identifying in a standard SVAR framework. The results are illustrated using a U.S. macro data set and a system of U.S. and European interest rates. Keywords: : CointegrationImpulse responsesMixed normal distributionVector autoregressive processVector error correction model

结构向量自回归非正态残差混合正态分布冲击识别