代际账户应取代公共预算和赤字吗?

Should Generational Accounts Replace Public Budgets and Deficits?

Journal of Economic Perspectives · 1994
被引 170
人大 A-ABS 4

中文导读

评估了Auerbach等人提出的代际账户概念,指出其基于诸多可质疑的假设,认为不应取代年度公共预算。

Abstract

The author assesses the concept of ‘generational accounts’ and the specific accounts constructed by Alan Auerbach, Jagadeesh Gokhale, and Laurence Kotlikoff (1991). Although these accounts support the assertion of present-orientation in fiscal policy, they rest on numerous assumptions based on judgments that are open to question. These involve the treatment of the public budget constraint, the benefits from public exhaustive expenditures, economic and population projections, the discount rate, and fiscal incidence. Alternative and equally reasonable assumptions could yield radically different conclusions. The author concludes that the Auerbach, Gokhale, and Kotlikoff accounts should not replace the annual public budget, as they argue.

代际账户财政政策公共预算假设敏感性