计算机辅助决策分析的经验评估

AN EMPIRICAL ASSESSMENT OF COMPUTER‐ASSISTED DECISION ANALYSIS*

DECISION SCIENCES · 1986
被引 198
人大 AABS 3

中文导读

通过实验室实验,让商科学生使用计算机决策分析程序处理战略管理案例,发现该程序虽受学生欢迎,但并未提升独立评估的决策报告质量,提示应谨慎采用此类辅助工具。

Abstract

ABSTRACT Decision analysis tools often are used in semistructured and ill‐structured situations. While some researchers have argued that computerized decision analysis programs may improve decision quality in such situations, research support for this assertion is weak. In this laboratory study, business students used a computerized decision‐analysis program with short strategic‐management cases to prepare decision reports. Independent raters' perceptions of aided and unaided decision performance were contrasted, attitudes of students toward the program were assessed, individual differences were correlated with attitudes, and the program's impact on students' perceptions of their decision processes and performance was examined. Student attitudes toward the computerized aid were favorable, and individual differences in reactions generally were as predicted. However, the program did not improve the independent ratings of students' decision reports and recommendations. These findings suggest that computerized decision aids should be adopted cautiously. If such aids result in positive user affect and heightened decision confidence without corresponding improvements in decision quality, they may be dysfunctional. Rigorous research methodologies which incorporate independent evaluations of analyses and decisions are recommended for use in future research on computerized decision‐analysis programs.

决策分析决策支持系统管理科学行为决策