Investment Under Uncertain Market Conditions
利用股票超额收益信息，研究企业投资对投入品价格和产出价格冲击的响应，估计了资本调整成本，发现投资对市场条件等基本面变量高度敏感。
This paper studies the responsiveness of firm investment to shocks in the input factor and output prices (the market conditions) by using stock market information on excess returns. The 'q' theory of investment is modified to allow for heterogeneous capital, ex post inflexible technology, and irreversible investment. A structural model linking the excess returns to a firm's equity to the firm's investment history and the evolution of the market conditions is estimated using a panel of U.S. manufacturing firms. The estimates of the cost of adjusting tile capital stock are economically sensible. They imply a high degree of sensitivity of investment to fundamental variables that affect the profitability of capital such as the market conditions and the purchase price of capital. Copyright 1995 by MIT Press.