The Growth, Decline and Survival of Small Businesses: An Exploratory Study of Life Cycles
利用美国人口普查局数据，追踪1992年成立的小企业及快速增长企业至2002年，发现成长型企业占经济比重稳定，新企业增长有限，快速增长企业次年趋于均值回归。
Using U.S. Census Bureau special tabulations, we follow a cohort of small (single-establishment) firms formed in 1992 and a cohort of fast growers to 2002 to track their employment changes. Explorative findings showed growing firms as generally a constant share of the economy with a minor business cycle effect, growing firms outnumbering decliners, new firms not growing much, and fast growers in a given year tending to revert to the mean in the following year. The findings are presented as an opening statement, but are far from final salvo into the discussion of small-firm growth.