可持续计划与相互违约

Sustainable Plans and Mutual Default

Review of Economic Studies · 1993
被引 140
人大 A+FT50ABS 4*

中文导读

构建一个一般均衡模型,研究政府和私人部门均可违约时的最优税收政策,分析可持续均衡中政府不违约的条件,并发现政府消费波动越大越容易维持良好结果。

Abstract

This paper presents a simple general equilibrium model of optimal taxation in which both private agents and the government can default on their debt. As a benchmark we consider Ramsey equilibria in which the government can precommit to its policies at the beginning of time, but in which private agents can default. We then consider sustainable equilibria in which both government and private agent decision rules are required to be sequentially rational. We adapt Abreu's (1988) optimal trigger strategies to completely characterize the entire set of sustainable equilibria. In particular, we show that when there is sufficiently little discounting and government consumption fluctuates enough, the Ramsey allocations and policies (in which the government never defaults) can be supported by a sustainable equilibrium. By way of an example we show that the larger the variance of government consumption the easier it is to support good outcomes. We also show for moderate discount factors that in the best sustainable equilibrium, tax rates are more volatile and debt is smaller than in the Ramsey equilibrium.

最优税收可持续均衡政府违约私人违约