打破框架:不确定性下的战略认知与决策分析

Breaking the frame: an analysis of strategic cognition and decision making under uncertainty

STRATEGIC MANAGEMENT JOURNAL · 1999
被引 339
人大 AFT50UTD24ABS 4*

中文导读

通过两项实验发现,在战略决策前进行因果认知绘图能有效克服框架效应带来的认知偏差,对管理者和学者有参考价值。

Abstract

This paper reports the findings of two experimental investigations into the efficacy of a causal cognitive mapping procedure as a means for overcoming cognitive biases arising from the framing of strategic decision problems. In Study 1, final year management studies undergraduate students were presented with an elaborated strategic decision scenario, under one of four experimental conditions: positively vs. negatively framed decision scenarios, with prechoice vs. postchoice mapping task orders (i.e., participants were required to engage in cognitive mapping before or after making a decision). As predicted, participants in the postchoice mapping conditions succumbed to the framing bias whereas those in the prechoice mapping conditions did not. Study 2 replicated and extended these findings in a field setting, on a sample of senior managers, using a decision scenario that closely mirrored a strategic dilemma currently facing their organization. Taken together, the findings of these studies indicate that the framing bias is likely to be an important factor in strategic decision making, and suggest that cognitive mapping provides an effective means of limiting the damage accruing from this bias. Copyright © 1999 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.

战略决策认知偏差框架效应认知地图