Birthquake: The Baby Boom and Its Aftershocks. By Diane J. Macunovich. Chicago: The University of Chicago Press, 2002. Pp xiii, 314. $37.50.
本书强调人口结构变化对经济行为的关键影响，指出长期预测模型必须纳入年龄结构和队列规模信息，适合关注人口与经济关系的学者。
Before I had even finished reading the first chapter of Diane Macunovich's new book, three things were crystal clear: People matter: a society's demographics need to be considered explicitly when trying to understand or to forecast its economic behavior. Einstein's conclusions about relativity apply to economies: changes in the relative size and age composition of a population can lead to major changes in its social and economic behavior. Economic demographers rule! From now on, users of long-term forecasting models will need to include information on changes in age structure and cohort size if they wish to forecast events more than a few years ahead.