Modeling Interdependence: An Approach to Simulation and Elicitation
开发了一种方法，用于获取联合依赖随机变量的概率信息，并直接用于生成模拟随机变量，特别适用于需要多个相互依赖变量信息的场景，如农业中多作物产量和价格不确定下的整体农场规划。
Abstract A method for eliciting probability information about jointly dependent random variables and incorporating that information directly in a method for generating simulated random variables is developed. The method is particularly useful in situations in which information on several interdependent variables is required. Applications in agriculture include whole‐farm planning with uncertainty about multiple crop yields and prices.