Anticipation and the Valuation of Delayed Consumption
构建了一个包含预期效用(愉悦或恐惧)的跨期选择模型,解释了为何人们可能延迟好事或提前做坏事,并探讨了该模型对储蓄、贴现率估计及公共政策的意义。
This paper presents a model of intertemporal choice that incorporates and dread-i.e., utility from anticipat ion of delayed consumption. The model explains why an individual with positive time preference may delay desirable outcomes or get unpleas ant outcomes over with quickly, contrary to the prediction of convent ional formulations of intertemporal choice. Implications of savoring and dread for savings behavior, empirical estimation of discount rate s, and public policy efforts to combat myopic behavior are explored. The model provides an explanation for common violations of the indepe ndence axiom as applied to intertemporal choice. Copyright 1987 by Royal Economic Society.