灾难化:修复宏观经济模型资产定价属性的简单方法

Disasterization: A Simple Way to Fix the Asset Pricing Properties of Macroeconomic Models

American Economic Review · 2011
被引 57
人大 A+FT50ABS 4*

中文导读

提出一种名为“灾难化”的建模方法,在不改变宏观经济变量的前提下,通过引入资本和生产率灾难,使模型同时具备良好的商业周期和资产定价属性。

Abstract

A central difficulty in economics is to create a model with both good business cycle properties and asset pricing properties. I show how to solve this difficulty by a simple portable modeling device: the “disasterization” of models. Take an economy with good business cycle properties and create a new, “disasterized” economy, which is essentially identical to the original one except that disasters can destroy part of the capital stock and productivity. In such a disasterized economy, asset prices exhibit high and volatile risk premia, but macro variables remain unchanged. Perturbations of this benchmark allow for feedback from finance to macro.

资产定价宏观经济模型灾难风险风险溢价