NONSURVEY INPUT‐OUTPUT ESTIMATION TECHNIQUES: EVIDENCE ON THE STRUCTURE OF ERRORS
研究了区域购买系数估计误差对投入产出乘数的影响,通过华盛顿州模型和计算机模拟发现两类误差源均可能导致显著乘数误差,并强调家庭购买列误差对乘数准确性的关键作用。
ABSTRACT This paper concerns the nature and extent of error introduced to regional input‐output multipliers by errors associated with the estimation of regional purchase coefficients (rpc's). Using the Washington State input‐output model and computer simulations, estimates of multiplier error are generated for two distinct sources of rpc error. The results indicate that multiplier error from both rpc sources may be significant and support the findings of previous studies which highlight the importance of error introduced to the household purchases column for multiplier accuracy.