异常现象:均值回归的华尔街漫步

Anomalies: A Mean-Reverting Walk Down Wall Street

Journal of Economic Perspectives · 1989
被引 262
人大 A-ABS 4

中文导读

研究发现股票价格在长期(3-7年)或经历极端波动后呈现负序列相关,即均值回归现象,为投资者提供预测参考。

Abstract

Stock prices do appear to be somewhat predictable. In particular, if one takes a long-term perspective (3–7 years) or examines individual securities that have experienced extreme price movements, then stock returns display significant negative serial correlation, in other words, prices are mean reverting. This column reviews some of this evidence.

股票收益可预测性均值回归长期反转效应极端价格变动