Zeros and Lumps in Investment: Empirical Evidence on Irreversibilities and Nonconvexities
利用挪威微观数据，研究投资率是否偏离标准凸调整成本模型的平滑模式，通过离散风险模型和转换回归模型分析高投资事件概率及投资率对基本面的反应，并探讨其宏观含义。
The objective of this paper is to investigate if and how capital adjustment departs from the smooth pattern implied by standard model based on convex adjustment costs. Using Norwegian micro data, we start by documenting the intermittent and lumpy nature of investment rates. We then present two pieces of econometric evidence on these issues. First, we estimate a discrete hazard model to determine the probability of having an episode of high investment, conditional on the length of the interval from the last high-investment episode. Second, we estimate a switching regression model that allows for the response of the investment rate to fundamentals to differ across regimes. In both cases we investigate the aggregate implications of our results. © 2003 President and Fellows of Harvard College and the Massachusetts Institute of Technology.