从十年经济增长实证研究中我们学到了什么?不是要素积累:典型事实与增长模型

What have we learned from a decade of empirical research on growth? It's Not Factor Accumulation: Stylized Facts and Growth Models

World Bank Economic Review · 2001
被引 1445
人大 A-ABS 3

中文导读

文章总结了五个经济增长典型事实,指出全要素生产率而非要素积累解释了大部分跨国收入与增长差异,并批评了强调要素积累的模型。

Abstract

The article documents five stylized facts of economic growth. (1) The “residual” (total factor productivity, tfp) rather than factor accumulation accounts for most of the income and growth differences across countries. (2) Income diverges over the long run. (3) Factor accumulation is persistent while growth is not, and the growth path of countries exhibits remarkable variation. (4) Economic activity is highly concentrated, with all factors of production flowing to the richest areas. (5) National policies are closely associated with long‐run economic growth rates. These facts do not support models with diminishing returns, constant returns to scale, some fixed factor of production, or an emphasis on factor accumulation. However, empirical work does not yet decisively distinguish among the different theoretical conceptions of tfp growth. Economists should devote more effort toward modeling and quantifying tfp.

全要素生产率经济增长收入差异国家政策