住房消费需求与投资需求的估算及其对住房产权状态的影响

Estimating the Consumption and Investment Demands for Housing and Their Effect on Housing Tenure Status

Review of Economics and Statistics · 1994
被引 174
人大 AFT50ABS 4

中文导读

利用1983年消费者金融调查数据,通过有序probit模型检验家庭住房产权选择理论,发现投资需求对财富和收入更敏感,消费需求对人口变量和郊区距离更敏感,且多数自住者的主要住房由消费需求决定。

Abstract

Theoretical work suggests that families live in owner-occupied housing if their investment demand for housing exceeds their consumption demand for housing. Using household data from the 1983 Survey of Consumer Finances, we test this theory by estimating an ordered probit model of whether families rent without owning property, rent while owning property other than their home, own their home without owning other properties, or own their home in addition to other properties. For owner-occupiers who own additional property, both the investment and consumption demands are directly observed enabling us to separately identify these functions. Results suggest that investment demand is more sensitive to wealth and income than is consumption demand, but that consumption demand is more sensitive to demographic variables and proximity to urban suburbs. In addition, test results indicate that the principal residence of most owner-occupiers is determined by their consumption demand for housing, not their investment demand. Hence, previous empirical housing demand studies likely to have identified the consumption demand for housing. Test results also suggest that, although the divergence between investment and consumption demand for housing is an important determinant of housing subtenure status, other factors also influence housing tenure decisions.

住房消费需求住房投资需求住房产权状态有序Probit模型