滞后、进口渗透与汇率传递

Hysteresis, Import Penetration, and Exchange Rate Pass-Through

Quarterly Journal of Economics · 1989
被引 857
人大 A+FT50ABS 4*

中文导读

用期权定价方法分析存在进入退出成本的行业均衡,发现汇率在中间区间内无进入退出(滞后),且汇率对国内价格的传递在进入退出阶段接近1,否则接近0。

Abstract

A competitive industry has established home firms, and foreign firms with entry and exit costs. The real exchange rate follows a Brownian motion. Industry equilibrium is determined using methods of option pricing. Entry requires the operating profit to exceed the interest on the entry cost, and similarly for exit. The middle band of rates without entry or exit yields hysteresis; it is found to be very wide for plausible parameter values. The exchange rate pass-through to domestic prices is found to be close to one in the phases where foreign firms enter or exit, and near zero otherwise.

滞后效应进口渗透汇率传导