货币替代下的恶性通货膨胀:引入一种指数化货币

Hyperinflation with Currency Substitution: Introducing an Indexed Currency

Journal of Money, Credit and Banking · 1992
被引 5
人大 A-ABS 4

中文导读

在Obstfeld-Rogoff框架中引入货币替代,证明在预期驱动的恶性通货膨胀中,货币替代反而会降低通胀率,并通过实证检验模型结论。

Abstract

Currency substitution (CS) and financial adaptation are in general believed to increase the equilibrium rate of inflation. This result derives from a setup in which the government finances a certain amount of real resources through money printing and where CS reduces the base of the inflation tax. This paper shows this intuition wrong for those situations where the hyperinflation is expectations-driven. Incorporating CS in an Obstfeld-Rogoff (1983) framework I show reduces the inflation rates along the hyperinflationary equilibrium. The intuition is simple: if agents have an easy way of substituting away from domestic currency then the required inflation rates to sustain a path where real balances disappears is necessarily lower. The implications of the model are then tested empirically.

恶性通货膨胀货币替代指数化货币预期驱动