球场上的犯罪

Crime on the Court

Journal of Political Economy · 1984
被引 131
人大 A+FT50ABS 4*

中文导读

研究执法者数量增加对逮捕率的影响,发现逮捕率可能上升或下降,并用大学篮球赛的数据验证:裁判从两人增至三人时,犯规数减少34%。

Abstract

This paper addresses the question, What happens to the arrest rate when the number of law enforcers increases? One implication of the analysis is that arrest statistics are a poor instrumental variable for judging the quality of law enforcement. Increasing the number of police can increase of decrease the number of arrests. An increased probability of arrest induces fewer criminal acts; hence the ambiguity. Because of this result, we apply the theory in the setting of college basketball. We find a large reduction, 34 percent, in the number of fouls committed during a basketball game when the number of referees increases from two to three. Additional empirical evidence is presented which suggests that this elastic supply of basketball crime is due to more competent officiating and cleaner play.

执法者数量逮捕率篮球犯规裁判人数