GARCH Model Estimation Using Estimated Quadratic Variation
提出利用高频数据估计的二次变分(如已实现方差)作为辅助信息,通过最小距离估计法一致地估计GARCH模型参数,即使二次变分存在测量误差也能得到一致估计,并通过模拟验证了小样本表现。
We consider estimates of the parameters of Generalized Autoregressive Conditional Heteroskedasticity (GARCH) models obtained using auxiliary information on latent variance which may be available from higher-frequency data, for example from an estimate of the daily quadratic variation such as the realized variance. We obtain consistent estimators of the parameters of the infinite Autoregressive Conditional Heteroskedasticity (ARCH) representation via a regression using the estimated quadratic variation, without requiring that it be a consistent estimate; that is, variance information containing measurement error can be used for consistent estimation. We obtain GARCH parameters using a minimum distance estimator based on the estimated ARCH parameters. With Least Absolute Deviations (LAD) estimation of the truncated ARCH approximation, we show that consistency and asymptotic normality can be obtained using a general result on LAD estimation in truncated models of infinite-order processes. We provide simulation evidence on small-sample performance for varying numbers of intra-day observations.