基于自适应最大似然估计的单位根检验

UNIT ROOT TESTS BASED ON ADAPTIVE MAXIMUM LIKELIHOOD ESTIMATION

Econometric Theory · 1999
被引 30
人大 A-ABS 4

中文导读

研究了自回归过程中非高斯创新下的自适应最大似然单位根估计量,构建了基于该估计量的检验,蒙特卡洛模拟显示其功效优于经典迪基-富勒检验。

Abstract

Adaptive maximum likelihood estimators of unit roots in autoregressive processes with possibly non-Gaussian innovations are considered. Unit root tests based on the adaptive estimators are constructed. Limiting distributions of the test statistics are derived, which are linear combinations of two functionals of Brownian motions. A Monte Carlo simulation reveals that the proposed tests have improved powers over the classical Dickey–Fuller tests when the distribution of the innovation is not close to normal. We also compare the proposed tests with those of Lucas (1995, Econometric Theory 11, 331–346) based on M-estimators.

单位根检验自适应极大似然估计非高斯新息