使用结构时间序列模型进行季节调整:应用及与普查X-11方法的比较

Seasonal Adjustment Using Structural Time Series Models: An Application and a Comparison With the Census X-11 Method

Journal of Business & Economic Statistics · 1990
被引 7
人大 AABS 4

中文导读

用结构时间序列模型(STM)对荷兰宏观经济季度和月度数据进行季节调整,并与普查X-11方法比较,发现STM方法表现良好。

Abstract

This article makes the method of seasonal adjustment operational using suitable structural time series models (STM). This so-called STM method is applied to several relevant Dutch macro- economic quarterly and monthly time series. The results are compared with those of the Census X-11 method using several formal criteria as yardsticks. The STM method proves to compete well with the Census X-11 method in this respect.

季节调整结构时间序列模型Census X-11方法荷兰宏观经济数据