客户群效应对住房价格增值需求的影响

Clientele Effects on the Demand For Housing Price Appreciation

Real Estate Economics · 1983
被引 7
人大 A-ABS 3

中文导读

研究不同收入购房者对预期资本增值的支付意愿差异,发现购房者会基于历史价格走势形成预期,且支付意愿随收入变化,证实住房市场存在客户群效应。

Abstract

If house buyers are segmented by income, one might expect to observe buyers in such markets valuing the benefits of expected capital gain differently. Presumably, individuals experiencing higher marginal tax rates should be inclined to pay relatively more for anticipated capital gain since the opportunities of sheltering such income from taxation are greater. This paper attempts to identify a proxy for expected capital gain by using the hedonic price methodology to predict a recent price series for each housing unit in a sample of sales. That proxy is then used to determine an individual buyer's marginal willingness to pay for anticipated price appreciation. The results indicate that one cannot reject the joint hypothesis that homebuyers naively extrapolate from prior implied price performance to establish future price expectations and the variation in willingness to pay for that expectation may be a function of the buyer's income. This suggests the existence in housing markets of a phenomenon termed the clientele effect. This effect has been the subject of considerable examination in the finance literature.

购房者收入分层客户效应房价增值预期特征价格法