GARCH和EGARCH模型的完全贝叶斯推断

Full Bayesian Inference for GARCH and EGARCH Models

Journal of Business & Economic Statistics · 2000
被引 135
人大 AABS 4

中文导读

提出GARCH和EGARCH模型的完全贝叶斯分析方法,涵盖参数估计、模型选择和波动率预测,并用雅典股票交易所指数示例说明。

Abstract

A full Bayesian analysis of GARCH and EGARCH models is proposed consisting of parameter estimation, model selection, and volatility prediction. The Bayesian paradigm is implemented via Markov-chain Monte Carlo methodologies. We provide implementation details and illustrations using the General Index of the Athens stock exchange.

GARCH模型EGARCH模型贝叶斯推断波动率预测