Powering up China: Income Distributions and Residential Electricity Consumption
研究发现，在预测中国农村家庭电力消费时，收入分布的形状（尤其是贫困线以上人口比例）比平均收入更重要，这对能源需求预测模型有改进意义。
Current forecasts suggest that the vast majority of growth in energy demand will come from the developing world, and that China will play a major part in that growth. This paper presents evidence suggesting that the shape of the income distribution, which is typically omitted from forecasting models, plays a major role in driving household acquisition of energy-using durable goods in rural China. We use province-level data for rural households to show that the share of the population living above the poverty line is an important determinant of household appliance holdings even controlling for average household income.