局部平稳因子模型:识别与非参数估计

LOCALLY STATIONARY FACTOR MODELS: IDENTIFICATION AND NONPARAMETRIC ESTIMATION

Econometric Theory · 2011
被引 57
人大 A-ABS 4

中文导读

提出一种新的近似因子模型,允许因子载荷随时间平滑变化,通过非参数估计协方差矩阵的特征向量估计载荷,并证明在截面和时间维度同时趋于无穷时估计量的一致性。

Abstract

In this paper we propose a new approximate factor model for large cross-section and time dimensions. Factor loadings are assumed to be smooth functions of time, which allows considering the model as locally stationary while permitting empirically observed time-varying second moments. Factor loadings are estimated by the eigenvectors of a nonparametrically estimated covariance matrix. As is well known in the stationary case, this principal components estimator is consistent in approximate factor models if the eigenvalues of the noise covariance matrix are bounded. To show that this carries over to our locally stationary factor model is the main objective of our paper. Under simultaneous asymptotics (cross-section and time dimension go to infinity simultaneously), we give conditions for consistency of our estimators. A simulation study illustrates the performance of these estimators.

局部平稳因子模型时变因子载荷非参数估计主成分估计