发展中国家稳定计划中货币贬值的影响

On the Effect of Devaluation During Stabilization Programs in LDCs

Review of Economics and Statistics · 1992
被引 97
人大 AFT50ABS 4

中文导读

通过跨国数据研究发展中国家在稳定计划期间实际货币贬值对产能利用率的影响,发现贬值显著抑制产出,主要原因是投资急剧收缩,而非储蓄增加。

Abstract

This paper is a cross-section study of the effect of real devaluations on capacity utilization during stabilization programs in LDCs. It finds that such devaluations had a significant negative effect on output as predicted in many recent papers. This was not because devaluation caused a rise in aggregate saving but more because of a sharp contraction in investment. External factors, such as terms of trade and the capacity to import, had a significant positive impact while monetary and fiscal policy played only a minor role. Copyright 1992 by MIT Press.

实际汇率贬值产能利用率稳定计划发展中国家