Irving Fisher's debt-deflation theory: its relevance to current conditions
论证了即使当前没有商品价格下跌,现代债务通缩过程仍可能通过资产价格下跌、债务偿还困难等机制发生,并指出最后贷款人干预和政府支持可阻止该过程。
The essence of Irving Fisher's debt-deflation theory was an interactive process whereby falling commodity prices increased the debt burden of borrowers. Despite the absence of falling prices today, this paper argues that a modified debt-deflation process is still possible. As the 1987 stock market crash demonstrates, the modern debt-deflation process encompasses falling asset prices, debt repayment difficulties, a reluctance to lend, a financial crisis, the impact on the banks, and the interdependency of the financial system. Recent debt-deflations have been aborted by lender-of-last-resort intervention and government support of the financial system. (c) 1996 Academic Press Limited Copyright 1996 by Oxford University Press.