A DYNAMIC INTRSECTORAL, MODEL OF REGIONAL ECONOMIC GROWTH*
构建了一个随机跨部门模型，利用普通最小二乘法和线性系统技术分析部门增加值与区域经济增长的动态关系，并计算了1963-1986年佐治亚州的动态乘数，发现部门冲击的影响可能呈现周期性和单调性模式。
ABSTRACT. The dynamic relationship between sectoral value added and regional economic growth is analyzed using a stochastic intersectoral model estimated by ordinary least squares and linear systems techniques. A state‐space portion of the model identifies the time element of sedoral value added. Dynamic multipliers, tracing the temporal path of regional growth, are calculated for the state of Georgia over the period 1963–1986. This application shows that the impacts of sectoral shocks can follow cyclical as well as monotonic patterns and that the direction and magnitude of the impact may change over time.