The Dynamic Impacts of Monetary Policy: An Exercise in Tentative Identification
尝试识别1980年代准备金和M2市场的供给与需求冲击，发现识别出的货币政策冲击对宏观经济变量的动态影响与传统分析完全一致。
It is currently popular to identify monetary policy shocks with innovations in some measure of reserves or in the federal funds rate. These assumptions about the interest elasticity of the supply of or demand for reserves imply monetary policy shocks that produce dynamic responses of macroeconomic variables that are anomalous relative to traditional monetary analyses. This paper tentatively identifies supply and demand shocks in the markets for reserves and M2 for the 1980s and contrasts them with results for the 1970s. In the later period, identified monetary policy shocks have dynamic impacts that are fully consistent with traditional analyses. Copyright 1994 by University of Chicago Press.